Since this is a very long post, it may make sense first to provide a quick summary of what I am going to argue. As I have discussed often in earlier posts, pessimists are starting to worry about excessive debt levels in China, about which they are very right to worry, and many are predicting [...]
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Tags: Consumer demand, credit expansion, Trade war
Posted in Asian development model, Balance sheets, Consumption and production, Fiscal debt and deficits, NPLs • 103 Comments »
After dropping as low as 1679 on Tuesday the Chinese stock markets managed nonetheless managed to put in a decent week, with the SSE Composite closing the week at 1748, up 1.1% for the week, helped by Tuesday’s Obama-inspired global rally. A lot of people have asked me what I think the bottom of the [...]
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Tags: credit expansion, Fiscal plan
Posted in Balance of payments, Global liquidity • 3 Comments »