Since this is a very long post, it may make sense first to provide a quick summary of what I am going to argue. As I have discussed often in earlier posts, pessimists are starting to worry about excessive debt levels in China, about which they are very right to worry, and many are predicting [...]
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Tags: Consumer demand, credit expansion, Trade war
Posted in Asian development model, Balance sheets, Consumption and production, Fiscal debt and deficits, NPLs • 103 Comments »
On Friday Chinese stock markets capped one of the best weeks in an awfully long time, with the SSE Composite closing at 1986, up 3.1% for the day and 13.7% for the week. Although a lot of local analysts have been saying that the rally is long overdue and represents confirmation that we have bottomed [...]
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Tags: Great Depression, Keynes, Trade war
Posted in Balance of payments • 33 Comments »