Although I am often surprised by how eagerly foreign commentators have embraced the Chinese fiscal stimulus story and see it as a great, shining success, I am happy to say, mercifully, that in China there is a lot more skepticism. There seems to be a serious debate among Chinese policymakers over the stimulus package. The [...]
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Tags: Steundent employment, Victor Shih
Posted in Fiscal stimulus, Labor and unemployment, Money growth, NPLs, Real estate • 44 Comments »
There is some good news about Chinese retail sales, although I am not sure how useful it is because retail sales numbers in China have always been a little hard to reconcile with other indicators of domestic demand. According to an article in today’s Bloomberg: Retail sales in China rose 13 percent during the three-day [...]
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Tags: PMI, Victor Shih
Posted in Consumption and production, Labor and unemployment, NPLs • 16 Comments »
After trading up four days in a row, with the SSE Composite closing on Monday at 2091, up 3.6% for the day, the market turned today and the SSE Composite lost 2.5% to close at 2038, less than one point off its intra-day bottom. What drove the four good days was continued talk of government [...]
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Tags: Export, Fan Gang, Victor Shih
Posted in Exports and imports • 24 Comments »